BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Fresno State 2022 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.47 |
27.02 |
27.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
391.09 |
374.09 |
374.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.65 |
5.65 (+0.00) |
Fresno State 2022 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.91 |
30.25 (-0.65) |
30.33 |
28.19 (-2.14) |
28.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
444.73 |
438.38 (-6.35) |
382.17 |
363.63 (-18.54) |
363.63 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.03 |
6.15 (+0.12) |
5.66 |
5.38 (-0.28) |
5.38 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.18 |
23.48 (+2.30) |
21.58 |
26.35 (+4.77) |
26.35 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
348.82 |
391.26 (+42.44) |
353.50 |
413.04 (+59.54) |
413.04 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.21 |
5.62 (+0.41) |
5.24 |
6.02 (+0.78) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2022-09-02 |
Cal Poly |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 35-7 |
1-0 |
| 2022-09-11 |
Oregon State |
19.69 |
30.51 |
-10.82 |
50.20 |
32.65% |
L 32-35 |
1-1 |
| 2022-09-18 |
@USC |
27.03 |
46.76 |
-19.72 |
73.79 |
18.36% |
L 17-45 |
1-2 |
| 2022-10-01 |
@Connecticut |
34.00 |
16.15 |
+17.85 |
50.15 |
78.62% |
L 14-19 |
1-3 |
| 2022-10-09 |
@Boise State |
27.17 |
30.24 |
-3.07 |
57.41 |
45.07% |
L 20-40 |
1-4 |
| 2022-10-16 |
San José State |
30.42 |
21.12 |
+9.30 |
51.54 |
64.91% |
W 17-10 |
2-4 |
| 2022-10-22 |
@New Mexico |
36.23 |
8.75 |
+27.48 |
44.99 |
94.07% |
W 41-9 |
3-4 |
| 2022-10-30 |
San Diego State |
28.44 |
15.57 |
+12.88 |
44.01 |
70.66% |
W 32-28 |
4-4 |
| 2022-11-06 |
Hawai'i |
47.07 |
16.30 |
+30.77 |
63.37 |
99.36% |
W 55-13 |
5-4 |
| 2022-11-12 |
@UNLV |
36.99 |
22.94 |
+14.05 |
59.93 |
72.54% |
W 37-30 |
6-4 |
| 2022-11-20 |
@Nevada |
38.06 |
17.30 |
+20.76 |
55.35 |
83.30% |
W 41-14 |
7-4 |
| 2022-11-26 |
Wyoming |
33.86 |
16.30 |
+17.57 |
50.16 |
78.18% |
W 30-0 |
8-4 |
| 2022-12-03 |
@Boise State |
27.17 |
30.24 |
-3.07 |
57.41 |
45.07% |
W 28-16 |
9-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-10 |
0.01% |
| 4-9 |
0.12% |
| 5-8 |
0.92% |
| 6-7 |
4.16% |
| 7-6 |
11.95% |
| 8-5 |
22.85% |
| 9-4 |
27.58% |
| 10-3 |
21.00% |
| 11-2 |
9.04% |
| 12-1 |
2.17% |
| 13-0 |
0.21% |